The issue price of Tata Steel Limited FPO is Rs 610/- per equity share.
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Monday, January 31, 2011
NTPC Company Update; Results hinting at change in grossing up again; Hold; Target: Rs 190
NTPC
Reco: HOLD
CMP: Rs188
Target Price: Rs190
Results hinting at change in grossing up again
· APAT of Rs23.2bn (prior year sales not adj.) is higher than est. of Rs20.6bn - we see change in grossing up again to full tax rate led by 25.6% tax rate in the qtr (project delays)
· Detailed analysis of Q310 & Q311 numbers indicate that Q311 APAT should have been lower byRs5.7bn, had NTPC followed MAT rate grossing up but actually its lower by only Rs450mn
· Though this might increase our FY11E earnings by ~10% but we believe that NTPC in all probabilities is likely to fall under MAT rate in FY12E - thus no change in FY12E earnings
· Valuations at 2.2xFY12E Book value, reasonable on core ROE of 25%; to review earnings post the concall tomorrow; Maintain Hold
Thursday, January 20, 2011
LIC Housing Finance Company Update; Valuations comfortable; upgrade to BUY; Target: Rs 210
LIC Housing Finance
Reco: BUY
CMP: Rs174
Target Price: Rs210
Valuations comfortable; upgrade to BUY
· Recent increases in the lending rates to take care of NIMs atleast for next two quarters. We are already building in 20bps pressure in spreads/NIMs next year
· Developers' loan portfolio only on pause now, to start disbursing fresh loans from Q4FY11 onwards. The proportion of developers' loan to remain steady at 11% of total
· Developers' loans portfolio NPAs are minimal. The loans under investigation at Rs3.9bn which are all performing assets
· Valuations at 1.7x/1.4x FY11E/FY12E ABV – valuations attractive looking at 22% avg RoEs despite higher provisions and building lower NIMs. Upgrade to BUY with TP of Rs210
Wednesday, January 19, 2011
Most Bought & Most Sold stocks by MF in December
Most Bought & Most Sold stocks
Mutual Funds in December picked stocks ranging from Agriculture, Electric Utilities as well as the IT sector. Coal India and Manganese Ore India Ltd saw entry into the maximum number of portfolios in December 2010. In all, 15 AMCs added Coal India to their portfolios and seven added MOIL Ltd.
Top 10 most bought stocks by MF in December
| S No | Company | Sector | No of Shares Added |
| 1 | Coal India Ltd | Coal | 16,464,171 |
| 2 | MOIL Ltd | Mining | 2,494,310 |
| 3 | Usher Agro | Agricultural products | 1,705,268 |
| 4 | Suzlon Energy Ltd | Heavy Electrical Equipment | 1,586,991 |
| 5 | NTPC Limited | Electric Utilities | 1,027,002 |
| 6 | Industrial Development Bank of India | Financials | 919,842 |
| 7 | Wipro Ltd | Information & Technology | 904,355 |
| 8 | APL Apollo Tubes Ltd | Iron & Steel Products | 900,000 |
| 9 | NVC Lighting Holdings Ltd | Lighting | 857,000 |
| 10 | Dena Bank Ltd | Financials | 841,711 |
Source: Product Research & Information Desk
Mutual Funds in December sold stocks in the financial companies including banks signaling concerns over the macro environment. Hindustan Construction was pared by fund houses for the second consecutive time and was the seventh most sold stock on the list
| S No | Company | Sector | No of Shares Sold |
| 1 | GVK Power & Infrastructure Ltd | Electric Utilities | 7,454,251 |
| 2 | South Indian Bank Ltd | Financials | 4,963,511 |
| 3 | Welspun Corp Ltd | Construction & Engineering | 2,804,973 |
| 4 | K S Oils Ltd | Edible Oils | 2,581,328 |
| 5 | Development Credit Bank | Financials | 2,385,000 |
| 6 | Standard Chartered PLC | Financials | 2,100,000 |
| 7 | Hindustan Construction Co. Ltd | Construction & Engineering | 2,004,631 |
| 8 | Camlin Ltd | Non-Durable Household Prod | 1,322,138 |
| 9 | Escorts Ltd | Commercial Vehicles | 1,168,026 |
| 10 | Rashtriya Chemicals & Fertilizers Ltd | Fertilizers | 1,156,424 |
FPO: Tata Steel, Following on the restructuring path; Subscribe; Price Band: Rs 594- 610
Tata Steel
Reco: SUBSCRIBE
Price Band: Rs 594- 610
Following on the restructuring path; Subscribe
· Tata Steel announced to issue 57 million shares as follow on public offering including 1.5 million shares for the employees
· At the higher and lower ends of the price band, the company would mop up Rs 34.8 billion and Rs 33.9 billion respectively
· On fully subscription, there would be an equity dilution of 6.3% and at the extended equity base the promoters' stake would come down to 30.5% from 32.5%
· At our target price of Rs 712, on the upper end of the offer price band the stock has a potential upside of 17%. Recommend SUBSCRIBELife Insurance | Health Insurance | Auto Insurance
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