--
Thanks & Regards
Aditya Kachru
Mutual Funds | Life Insurance | Health Insurance | Motor Insurance | Equity | Fixed Income | Real Estate
Safe Invest India Blog | www.safeinvestonline.com | info@safeinvestindia.com
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Thanks & Regards
Aditya Kachru
Mutual Funds | Life Insurance | Health Insurance | Motor Insurance | Equity | Fixed Income | Real Estate
"6 out of Top 10 companies in India are Public Sector Companies. Of the 50 companies which make up the NIFTY, 10 companies are PSUs. Top 18 PSU companies' (called 'Navratnas') total income is equal to 15% of India's GDP. In 2008, Public Sector Companies paid over 33.5% of their net profits as dividends."
We are pleased to announce the launch of Religare PSU Equity Fund – an open ended equity scheme which will invest in Government Companies having presence in core sectors and those which are expected to benefit from divestment process and reforms. The fund is one of its kind in the industry with an objective to generate long term capital appreciation by investing in equity and equity related instruments of companies where the Central / State Government(s) has majority shareholding or management control or powers to appoint majority of directors.
Some advantages of investing in PSU companies:
o Strong Fundamentals - Most of the PSU companies are leaders in their category and in many cases have a virtual monopoly in business
o Most of the PSU companies are present in sectors, which are core to the India Growth Story
o Government focus on Listing of Public Sector Companies and further divestment of stake in existing companies
o PSU companies are currently available at reasonable valuations compared to broader markets
o The expected re-rating of these companies in future in the event of Government divesting stakes in PSU companies, can lead to above average gains over a period of time
Other salient features of the fund:
o The Fund will also participate in forthcoming IPOs of Government Companies
o The Fund mandate provides the flexibility up to 20% to hold companies even after Government exits or becomes a minority shareholder
o At least 65% of the assets will be invested in companies, which are part of the BSE PSU Index. Balance 35% will be invested in PSUs outside the BSE PSU Index
o The Fund will have no market capitalisation bias and will be style neutral
o The Fund is ideally suited for investors looking forward to benefiting from the long term value unlocking in Public Sector Enterprises
New Fund Offer Opens on: 29th September, 2009
New Fund Offer Closes on: 28th October, 2009
Please contact us @ 0-9818269396 or investorspleaselisten@in.com for any further information and clarification relating to the new fund offer.
We assure you the best of services and attentions at all times and look forward your queries.
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"6 out of Top 10 companies in India are Public Sector Companies. Of the 50 companies which make up the NIFTY, 10 companies are PSUs. Top 18 PSU companies' (called 'Navratnas') total income is equal to 15% of India's GDP. In 2008, Public Sector Companies paid over 33.5% of their net profits as dividends."
We are pleased to announce the launch of Religare PSU Equity Fund – an open ended equity scheme which will invest in Government Companies having presence in core sectors and those which are expected to benefit from divestment process and reforms. The fund is one of its kind in the industry with an objective to generate long term capital appreciation by investing in equity and equity related instruments of companies where the Central / State Government(s) has majority shareholding or management control or powers to appoint majority of directors.
Some advantages of investing in PSU companies:
o Strong Fundamentals - Most of the PSU companies are leaders in their category and in many cases have a virtual monopoly in business
o Most of the PSU companies are present in sectors, which are core to the India Growth Story
o Government focus on Listing of Public Sector Companies and further divestment of stake in existing companies
o PSU companies are currently available at reasonable valuations compared to broader markets
o The expected re-rating of these companies in future in the event of Government divesting stakes in PSU companies, can lead to above average gains over a period of time
Other salient features of the fund:
o The Fund will also participate in forthcoming IPOs of Government Companies
o The Fund mandate provides the flexibility up to 20% to hold companies even after Government exits or becomes a minority shareholder
o At least 65% of the assets will be invested in companies, which are part of the BSE PSU Index. Balance 35% will be invested in PSUs outside the BSE PSU Index
o The Fund will have no market capitalisation bias and will be style neutral
o The Fund is ideally suited for investors looking forward to benefiting from the long term value unlocking in Public Sector Enterprises
New Fund Offer Opens on: 29th September, 2009
New Fund Offer Closes on: 28th October, 2009
Please contact us @ 0-9818269396 or investorspleaselisten@in.com for any further information and clarification relating to the new fund offer.
We assure you the best of services and attentions at all times and look forward your queries.
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Though this QIPO will result in dilution in earnings to the extent of 3-4% we believe the net impact will be positive for the company as it can generate better returns from the incremental capex. The company has plans of capex of around Rs 500-600 cr per annum. Company expects to generate ROA of 1.5-1.8 times thus it can improve its return ratios. Cipla has debt of around Rs 900 cr at the end of FY09 Pre dilution our EPS estimates for Cipla are Rs 12.9 for FY10 & Rs 15.2 for FY11. At the CMP the stock is trading at 17x FY11 EPS.
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Some media reports suggest that Lupin has bought a drug called Antra from Ocient Pharma of US for around USD 35. Lupin bought this brand at around 0.5x sales because Ocient Pharma is under bankruptcy. Just to give a perspective Ocient it bought this same brand around 2 years ago at 2x sales. We believe this acquisition is EPS accretive for Lupin as one it has bought this brand at relatively cheaper price & secondly it can leverage its already existing sales force in US. Lupin will have to employ additional 100 people in its sales force for this product but this will surely strengthen its [position regulated mkts. Our rough cut estimates suggest incremental earnings of around Rs 3-4 per share for Lupin from this acquisition which roughly translates into an increase of Rs 45-50 in the stock price. Please note that till the time of writing this article this news has not been formally announced in Indian press by the company but we expect the formal announcement very soon.
Our sources also suggest there may be a few more announcements by the company in next couple of months on acquisitions in countries like Brazil, Japan & China. Hence we expect the stock price to remain buoyant.
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The management believes that coated paper prices have already started firming up while uncoated paper prices especially in India will see further correction. Paper prices are directly dependent on pulp prices. Though pulp prices have started firming up globally, its subsequent effect in Paper prices will be seen in the coming quarters which should affect the company positively.
Rayon grade pulp prices have started improving on account of revival of demand from the textile industry. The company has a 3 months order from its biggest buyer – Grasim and the plant is already running at full capacity.
The capex expected for the next 2 years will be to the tune of USD 145 mn which the company will raise through internal accruals. Though they have no plans of raising any further debt, equity dilution route at BPH levels may be considered for the same.
The company has a total debt of $ 565 mn due to their Netherland SPV and Rs 8 bn in India which includes an FCCB of Rs 2.5 bn. Repayment for this is expected to begin in March 2011.
Outlook on domestic demand supply scenario remains favourable.
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De-regulating - The key to re-rating
Indications of a partial de-regulation have set in motion the process of re-rating of the oil marketing companies (OMCs). With policy initiative being a strong rating trigger for the OMCs, the recent events are likely to help OMCs regain their historical peak valuations of 1-year forward P/BV of 2x. The government clarification that auto fuel under-recovery will be borne by upstream companies and cooking fuel under-recovery by the government - has paved the way for a proper subsidy sharing mechanism. We believe that a possible de-regulation of auto fuels would greatly ease the dependence of the OMCs on oil bonds, resulting in better working capital management and lower debt. Stable crude prices, lower under-recovery, healthy cash flows and consequently, a stronger balance-sheet warrant a re-rating of the OMCs. While the OMCs have already outperformed the broad market indices since May'09, we believe that there is still more steam left. As the policy initiatives reflect in the financials of the OMCs, we expect further re-rating. We initiate coverage on BPCL, HPCL and IOC with a BUY rating and price targets of Rs.675, Rs.515 and Rs.785 respectively.
n Policy action suggest partial de-regulation
n Under-recovery to reduce sharply
n Significant improvement in balance sheet of OMCs
n We expect stocks to get re-rated
Reco | Company | CMP (Rs) | TP (Rs) |
BUY | BPCL | 536 | 675 |
BUY | HPCL | 379 | 515 |
BUY | IOC | 634 | 785 |
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BILT is expected to post its Q4FY09 and FY09 (June ending company) results on Monday, September 22, 2009. We expect consolidated net sales of Rs 7.5 bn, -5.3% YoY. EBITDA margins are expected to show an improvement of 150 bps YoY to 23.3% following which we expect EBITDA to increase by 1.1% YoY to Rs 1753 mn. Inspite of improved margins we expect the company to report a sharp fall in APAT (after minority interest) of 34.7% to Rs 455 mn. EPS for the quarter is expected at Rs 0.7 as against Rs 1.1 in Q4FY08. We have BUY recommendation on the stock with a price target of Rs 24.
For FY09 we expect company to report net revenues of Rs 28.6 bn, -1.9% YoY. We expect EBITDA to decline by 9.8% to Rs 6.6 bn resulting in an EBITDA margin of 23.1% as against 25.1% previous year. APAT (after minority interest) is expected to decline by 26.6% to Rs 1.8 bn resulting in an EPS of Rs 2.8 as against Rs 3.8 previous year which is a de-growth of 26.3%.
We have BUY recommendation on the stock with a price target of Rs 24.
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We are pleased to share the performance of Canara Robeco Equity Diversified Fund with you. The fund has been a consistent performer in its category with 6 - month returns of 104.5% & 1 - year returns of 35.86%. (as on 15th Sep'09).
Salient Features:
· Top 10 holdings of the portfolio account for 38% of net assets.
A brief one pager of the fund is attached for your ready reference.
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Post the above increase in open offer price, BSL's cost of acquiring 20% interest in GOL has increased from Rs3.2 bn (at Rs403/Share) to Rs4.4 bn, while its DER would increase from 0.8X to 1.8X (pre warrant issue). In the event, the bidding war between ABGS and BSL intensifies further; it is likely to significantly increase the cost of acquisition, negatively impacting the attractiveness thereof. However, the long term interests are likely to remain intact.
At CMP, the stock is trading at 3.7X FY10E and 5.4X FY11E earnings of Rs55.7 and Rs38.5 per share respectively. We have a 'HOLD' rating on the stock with a target price of Rs171.
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THINKSOFT GLOBAL SERVICES LIMITED | |
Book Running Lead Manager | Karvy Investor Services Limited |
Co-Book Running Lead Manager | Chartered Capital and Investment Limited |
Syndicate Members | Karvy Stock Broking Limited |
Issue Opening Date | 22nd September, 2009 |
Issue Closing Date | 24th September, 2009 |
Issue Size | 36,46,000 Equity Shares |
Price Band | Rs. 120/- to Rs. 130/- |
Bid Lot | 50 shares |
Registrar to the Issue | Karvy Computershare Private Limited |
No. of Equity Shares allotted categorywise | |
QIB | 18,23,000 |
Non Insitutional Bidder | 5,46,900 |
Retail | 12,76,100 |
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Pipavav Shipyard
Steeply Priced
Pipavav Shipyard Ltd (PSL) is setting up India's largest shipyard with unmatched state-of-the art facilities. On completion, PSL will be able to construct, fabricate and repair a range of vessels in the merchant, offshore and defence sectors. We maintain a negative outlook on the global shipbuilding industry. However, we believe that PSL, with its world-class facilities and capability to handle large sized vessels, is best placed amongst its Indian counterparts to tap the huge opportunity (at Rs150-200 bn pa) in the Indian defence sector. Further, offshore fabrication and ship repair also present a lucrative opportunity. However, these could witness slow ramp up and initial teething troubles. Further, only 52% of PSL's Rs45.0 bn order book is firm, with orders worth Rs18.0 bn under negotiation or arbitration. Since PSL has recently commenced operations in FY10 (Apr'09), we have valued PSL on EV/Order book. At the higher end of the band (Rs60/Share), PSL shall command an EV/Order book multiple of 1.1X, much higher than peers ABG Shipyard (0.2X) and Bharati Shipyard (0.3X). At P/BV of over 2.0X, PSL is at a significant premium to its Indian counterparts, ABG Shipyard (1.5X), Bharati Shipyard (0.8X) and global peers. Given its expensive valuations, we recommend 'AVOID' subscription. We would prefer an entery point closer to that by co-promoter Punj Lloyd.
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Major telecos see no disruption despite Tata DoCoMo offerings
Net telecommunication (telecom) subscriber additions in August 2009 stood at 9.3 million (excluding the numbers of Reliance Communications [RCom] that has yet to disclose its numbers). This is a marginal decline of 1.8% month on month (mom) in net additions. India?s total telecom subscriber base (excluding RCom) increased to 322.17 million at the end of August 2009, implying a growth of 3% over July 2009.
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The public issue details of Pipavav Shipyard Limited IPO are as mentioned below: -
Books Open 16th September 2009, Wednesday
Books Close 18th September 2009, Friday
Price Band 55-60
Lot Size 110 Shares & multiple of 110 thereafter
QIB Book 50,910,135 Equity shares (60% of the Net issue size)
Retail Book 25,455,068 Equity shares (30% of Net issue size)
HNI Book 8,485,022 Equity shares (10% of Net issue size)
Employee
Reservation up to 600,000 Equity shares.
Total No of
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n It has bagged a repeat order from Nuclear Power Corporation of India for four steam generators. The order involves design, manufacture and supply of four steam generators for 700 MWe pressurized heavy water reactors for NPCIL's Rajasthan Atomic Power Plant (7 & 8). L&T had previously bagged an order for supply of 4 steam generators to NPCIL's Kakrapar Atomic Power Project (3 & 4) worth Rs3,450 mn.
n L&T has also bagged a technology development order from Department of Atomic Energy (DAE, MRPU) for welded grid plate as per a new IGCAR design.
With the above orders, L&T has bagged orders worth Rs163 bn YTD (H1FY09 order intake - Rs247 bn) – equivalent to 27.5% of our FY10E order inflow estimates. We reiterate that achieving management order inflow guidance of 25-30% in FY10E will be herculean task and expect order inflow growth at a lower 15%. L&T's total order book stands at Rs784 bn. At CMP the stock is trading at rich valuations of 27.2X FY10E and 22.6X FY11E consolidated earnings of Rs58.9 and Rs70.8 per share respectively. We have a HOLD rating on the stock.
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We have forecasted nominal growth in capital spends at 13% in FY10E, thereafter strengthening to 17% and 18% in FY11E and FY12E respectively. It is public spends that will drive capital spends in FY09-12E period with nominal growth of 16%, 18% and 19% in FY10E, FY11E and FY12E respectively. Private spends are likely to report lower nominal growth at 12% in FY10E and rebound thereafter to 16% and 18% in FY11E and FY12E respectively. Thus, the expected growth in capital spends at 16% CAGR in FY09-12E period is likely to translate into an earnings CAGR of 22% for our ECI universe. We expect our ECI universe to report an earnings growth of 19% in FY10E, thereafter strengthening to 24% in FY11E and broadening to 23% in FY12E.
We have valued the companies in our ECI universe on FY11E earnings to capture their true growth potential. Further, we have solely focused on the single valuation method of PER to value core engineering business, which in turn, is derived from three different measures i.e. (1) Average PER in FY04-08 period (2) Average PEG in FY04-08 period and (3) Average premium to index valuation in FY04-08 period. Further, we have added the embedded values (BOT, subsidiary and JV businesses) to the target valuation of core engineering business to arrive at the target value of the ECI companies under coverage. Consequently, we have assigned target prices of Rs2378/Share, Rs1525/Share, Rs242/Share, Rs417/Share, Rs81/Share, Rs222/Share, Rs579/Share and Rs427/Share for Bharat Heavy Electricals (BHEL), Larsen & Toubro (L&T), Punj Lloyd, Thermax, Elecon Engineering (Elecon), McNally Bharat (McNally), TRF and IVRCL Infrastructure (IVRCL) respectively. We believe that the 'Best Plays' in the current capital spend cycle are companies exposed to 'STRUCTURAL CAPEX'. Hence, we prefer BHEL, McNally, TRF and IVRCL over Thermax, Punj Lloyd and Elecon.
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The public issue details of Pipavav Shipyard Limited IPO is as mentioned below: -
Books Open 16th September 2009, Wednesday
Books Close 18th September 2009, Friday
Price Band Will be decided two days prior to the issue.
Lot Size Will be decided two days prior to the issue.
QIB Book 5,09,10,135 shares (60% of the Net issue size)
Retail Book 2,54,55,068 shares(30% of Net issue size)
HNI Book 84,85,022 shares (10% of Net issue size)
Employee
Reservation up to 6,00,000 shares.
Total No of
Shares offered 8,54,50,225
Total Size of the Issue - Rs.450 Crs - Rs.500 Crs (Approximately)
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Tata AIG Life InvestAssure Apex is a unique unit linked life insurance plan that provides a platform ensuring the upside potential of the equity markets while safeguarding the investor's interest by offering a Guaranteed Maturity Unit Price (GMUP)#. This product is available for a limited period only. IN THIS POLICY, THE INVESTMENT RISK IN INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO IS BORNE BY THE POLICYHOLDER. Key Features: | |||
Key Benefits:
Riders:
Eligibility Criteria:
Tax Benefits
#GMUP: "Guaranteed Maturity Unit Price" means the highest Unit Price of the Apex Return Lock-in Fund II recorded on the one hundred (100) Reset Dates. The Unit Price is Rs. 10 on the first Reset Date. The Guaranteed Maturity Unit Price is applicable to the Apex Return Lock-In Fund II and for the purpose of determining the Maturity Benefit only. |
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Forthcoming Issues at NSE
Symbol - Series | OILIND EQ |
Issue Period | Sep 07, 2009 to Sep 10, 2009 |
Issue Size | 26449982 equity shares |
Issue Type | 100% Book Building |
Face Value | Rs. 10/- |
Price Range | Rs. 950 To Rs. 1050. |
Tick Size | Re. 1/- |
Market Lot | 6 Equity Shares |
Minimum Order Quantity | 6 Equity Shares |
Maximum Subscription Amount for Retail Investor | Rs.100000 |
IPO Market Timings | 10.00 a.m. to 5.00 p.m. |
IPO Grading | IPO GRADE 4 |
Rating Agency | CRISIL |
Book Running Lead Manager | JM Financial Consultants Private Limited, Morgan Stanley Company India Private Limited, Citigroup Global Markets India Private Limited and HSBC Securities and Capital Markets (India) Private Limited |
Syndicate Member | JM financial Services Private Limited |
Categories | FI, IC, VC, MF, FII, FVCI, SIDC, PF, PEF, MLA, BDFI, NIF, CO,FIISA, IND, HUF, NRI ,OTH,EMP and DIR. |
No. of Cities with Bidding Centers | 56 |
Name of the registrar | Karvy Computershare Private Limited |
Address of the registrar | Karvy House 46, Avenue 4, Street Number 1, Banjara Hills, Hyderabad, 500 034, Andhra Pradesh, India. |
Contact person name number and Email id | Mr. M. Murali Krishna, TTel: +91 40 2342 0815 Toll Free Number: 1-800-345 4001 Email: ganapathy@karvy.com |
Prospectus | |
IPO Grading |
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Investors Please Listen !
More than 100 kinds of Insurance products from more than
20 companies under one roof.
Call: 9818269396
investorspleaselisten@in.com
www.investorspleaselisten.blogspot.com
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