Friday, December 4, 2009

[Investors] Ship Building Industry ; ABG Shipyard: SELL, Bharati Shipyard: HOLD

Ship Building

 

End of tug of war


ABG Shipyard

 

Bharati Shipyard

 

 

 

 

 

SELL

 

HOLD

 

CMP: Rs 214

Target Price: Rs 182

CMP: Rs 208

Target Price: Rs 206


Bharati Shipyard (BSL) has come out tops in the race to acquire control over Great Offshore (GOL) – as envisaged by us (refer report dated 29 Jun '09 – Bidding War). This follows ABG Shipyard (ABGS) sale of its entire stake in GOL for a consideration of Rs1.8 bn. BSL plans acquire 21.1% stake in GOL (of undiluted share capital) at offer price of Rs590 and increase its stake to 44.3%. We reiterate long term benefits to BSL from above deal - (1) diversification from cyclical shipbuilding business and (2) benefits of captive customer base. However, increased leverage (DER up from 1.0X to 1.9X) has increased medium term risks to earnings. We continue to maintain a negative view on the global shipbuilding industry amidst no signs of revival in demand and expected round of cancellations and delays / postponement in order execution. We have revised BSL's SoTP target price to Rs206, split as (1) Rs88 for core shipbuilding business and (2) Rs118 for 44.3% stake in GOL - @7X FY11E earnings adjusted for interest. We have also revised ABGS target price to Rs182 per share (DCF Based), factoring benefits from reduced leverage.

--
Safe Harbor:
The information contained and provided on this Website provides Investment advice for the education of investors. The posts are an information service only. Recommendations, opinions or suggestions are given with the understanding that readers acting on this information assume all risks involved. We do not assume any responsibility or liability resulting from the use of such information, judgment and opinions for Trading or Investment purposes.
 
You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Investors Please Listen !" group.
To post to this group, send email to investorspleaselisten@googlegroups.com
To unsubscribe from this group, send email to
investorspleaselisten+unsubscribe@googlegroups.com For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/investorspleaselisten?hl=en

No comments:

Blog Archive

Life Insurance | Health Insurance | Auto Insurance


Investors Please Listen !

 
More than 100 kinds of Insurance products from more than
20 companies under one roof.



Call: 9818269396 
investorspleaselisten@in.com
www.investorspleaselisten.blogspot.com

 

 

Safe Harbor:

The information contained and provided on this Website provides Investment advice for the education of investors. The posts are an information service only. Recommendations, opinions or suggestions are given with the understanding that readers acting on this information assume all risks involved. We do not assume any responsibility or liability resulting from the use of such information, judgment and opinions for Trading or Investment purposes.
Powered by Olark
Advertising Learn to Invest