Monday, May 4, 2009

[Investors Please Listen] LIC Housing Finance Initiating Coverage

LIC Housing Finance

Robust growth, deep value


BUY

 

CMP: Rs364                           Target Price: Rs450


We initiate our coverage on LIC Housing Finance (LICHF) with a BUY rating and a price target of Rs450. We believe that LICHF is well equipped to take advantage of the long term growth prospects of the Indian housing finance market. Given its wide distribution franchise to grow the loan book (21% CAGR over FY09-11E), ability to maintain NIMs (2.9% over FY09-11E) and effective risk assessment processes (gross NPAs at low of 0.7% by FY11E), we expect LICHF to report a 20% CAGR in net operating revenues and earnings over FY09-11E. As LICHF leverages its balance sheet and maintains its RoA at 2.0%, we expect it to report a robust RoE of 25%+ over the same period. Looking at its promising growth prospects and RoE profile, we believe that the current valuations at 1.1x FY10E ABV and 0.9x FY11E ABV are attractive.


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Safe Harbor:

The information contained and provided on this Website provides Investment advice for the education of investors. The posts are an information service only. Recommendations, opinions or suggestions are given with the understanding that readers acting on this information assume all risks involved. We do not assume any responsibility or liability resulting from the use of such information, judgment and opinions for Trading or Investment purposes.
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